qveris-portfolio-risk-monitor

---
name: qveris-portfolio-risk-monitor
description: Monitor a portfolio for concentration, drawdown, volatility, catalyst, news, and liquidity risks with auditable QVeris calls. Use when an agent needs QVeris-powered finance research, live market data, filings/news evidence, cost-aware tool calls, or source-backed investment analysis for this workflow.
---

# Portfolio risk monitor

## Standalone Execution Contract

Treat this skill folder as self-contained. When the skill is installed or copied alone, run commands from this directory and use `scripts/run.mjs` for dry-run, fixture, and live execution.

Do not hand-write QVeris `curl` or ad hoc API calls for normal operation. Manual QVeris calls are allowed only for debugging provider behavior, must be labelled `manual_debug`, and must not be reported as a successful skill E2E run. The skill E2E path is successful only when `scripts/run.mjs` produces the Markdown report, structured JSON, and trace artifact.

`scripts/lib/qveris-runtime.mjs` is bundled runtime plumbing for this skill package. No repository-level shared directory is required when using the skill as an installed package.

## Natural-Language Invocation Contract

When this skill is triggered by a user request, treat the skill as responsible for the final artifacts. The user should not need to know or request a command. Produce these canonical outputs whenever the user asks for analysis, a report, or a reusable result:

- Markdown report
- Schema-valid business JSON
- QVeris trace JSON with tool IDs, providers, parameters, execution IDs, costs, skipped calls, and missing-data notes

Use `scripts/run.mjs` internally to produce the canonical outputs. Always pass a business JSON output path when producing artifacts. In the final response, link the report, business JSON, and trace, and summarize paid calls, credits, execution status, and missing-data limits.

Do not create alternate runners, alternate schemas, or one-off JSON shapes for normal use. If the canonical runner lacks a metric, state the gap in `missing_data` and improve this skill later; do not silently replace the skill with ad hoc code. Manual QVeris calls, web search, or provider-specific debugging may supplement the analysis only when labelled `manual_debug`; they cannot replace the canonical runner output or be reported as successful skill E2E.

If the user has not authorized paid QVeris calls, stop after dry-run/preflight or ask for approval. If the user authorizes QVeris spend, run live and stay within the stated budget.

## Internal Deterministic Runner

Use the local runner internally before composing a free-form answer:

```bash
node scripts/run.mjs --dry-run --holdings AAPL:25,NVDA:25,MSFT:20,TSLA:15,CASH:15 --benchmark SPY --window-days 30
node scripts/run.mjs --live --holdings AAPL:25,NVDA:25,MSFT:20,TSLA:15,CASH:15 --benchmark SPY --window-days 30 --max-paid-calls 25 --max-credits 520 --output artifacts/live-smoke.md --json-output artifacts/live-smoke.json --trace artifacts/live-smoke-trace.json
```

The runner performs QVeris Discover / Inspect preflight, enforces paid-call and credit budgets, writes a Markdown report, writes schema-valid business JSON, and writes a JSON trace.

## Workflow

1. Clarify ticker, market, time window, user objective, and maximum paid QVeris Call budget.
2. Use QVeris Discover (POST /search) to find the needed finance, market, filing, news, transcript, or social capabilities.
3. Use QVeris Inspect (POST /tools/by-ids) before paid execution. Show coverage, parameters, latency, success signal, and billing_rule when available.
4. Ask for explicit user approval before paid Call execution.
5. Use QVeris Call (POST /tools/execute) only for the bounded sources needed for the task.
6. Return the requested finance output with evidence strength, missing data, QVeris capabilities used, paid Call count, estimated credits, and a not-investment-advice disclaimer.

## Output Contract

Return these sections unless the user asks for a narrower format:

- Objective and scope
- Data sources discovered and inspected
- Evidence table with source type, recency, and confidence
- Analysis or ranking
- Risks, dissenting evidence, and missing proof
- QVeris calls used and estimated credits
- Not investment advice

The JSON artifact must include concentration HHI, top holding exposure, role-level `missing_data`, `measurable_risks`, and `risk_metrics` when historical prices are available. `risk_metrics` covers observation count, latest close, daily and annualized volatility, max drawdown, 95% historical VaR, and benchmark correlation when both top-holding and benchmark histories return usable records.

## Cost Guardrails

- Discover and Inspect are treated as free preflight actions.
- Paid actions are QVeris Call executions.
- Provider fallback attempts are also paid actions and must remain inside `--max-paid-calls` and `--max-credits`; fallback attempts are recorded in the trace.
- If estimated credits exceed the user's budget, reduce tickers, shorten windows, or ask for approval before continuing.

## Methodology Reference

Read `references/methodology.md` when the user asks where the workflow comes from or how to adapt it. Read `references/source-review.md` for GitHub research and `references/qveris-tool-map.md` before changing QVeris data routing.

## Source Inspiration

This skill is QVeris-native and does not copy source project text, prompts, code, or branding. It adapts public workflow patterns from permissively licensed finance AI projects:

- virattt/ai-hedge-fund (MIT): Multi-lens investment agents, valuation, sentiment, fundamentals, technicals, risk manager, and portfolio manager patterns.
- AI4Finance-Foundation/FinRL (MIT): Train-test-trade workflow, market environment, risk controls, and strategy evaluation patterns.
- microsoft/qlib (MIT): Quant research pipeline, alpha seeking, factor modeling, backtesting, risk modeling, and portfolio optimization patterns.

• SKILL.md 6 KB
• agent.md 1 KB
• qveris.skill.json 10 KB
• agents/openai.yaml 1 KB
• artifacts/codex-cli-live-output.json 2 KB
• artifacts/codex-cli-live-trace.json 39 KB
• artifacts/codex-cli-live.md 2 KB
• artifacts/codex-cli-natural-e2e-20260703-final.txt 1 KB
• artifacts/codex-cli-natural-e2e-20260703-output.json 4 KB
• artifacts/codex-cli-natural-e2e-20260703-trace.json 56 KB
• artifacts/codex-cli-natural-e2e-20260703.md 2 KB
• artifacts/codex-e2e.md 1 KB
• artifacts/dry-run-trace.json 39 KB
• artifacts/dry-run.md 1 KB
• artifacts/fixture-output.json 3 KB
• artifacts/hardening-live-20260703-output.json 3 KB
• artifacts/hardening-live-20260703-trace.json 55 KB
• artifacts/hardening-live-20260703.md 2 KB
• artifacts/live-smoke-trace.json 39 KB
• artifacts/live-smoke.md 2 KB
• artifacts/openclaw-natural-e2e-20260703-final.txt 4 KB
• artifacts/openclaw-natural-e2e-20260703-output.json 4 KB
• artifacts/openclaw-natural-e2e-20260703-trace.json 56 KB
• artifacts/openclaw-natural-e2e-20260703.md 2 KB
• artifacts/repair-live-20260703-output.json 4 KB
• artifacts/repair-live-20260703-trace.json 56 KB
• artifacts/repair-live-20260703.md 2 KB
• artifacts/scenario-02-concentrated-nvda-output.json 2 KB
• artifacts/scenario-02-concentrated-nvda-trace.json 43 KB
• artifacts/scenario-02-concentrated-nvda.md 1 KB
• artifacts/scenario-03-defensive-stocks-output.json 2 KB
• artifacts/scenario-03-defensive-stocks-trace.json 43 KB
• artifacts/scenario-03-defensive-stocks.md 2 KB
• examples/README.md 2 KB
• fixtures/missing-data-portfolio-risk.json 1 KB
• fixtures/normal-portfolio-risk.json 2 KB
• references/methodology.md 1 KB
• references/qveris-tool-map.md 7 KB
• references/scenario-review.md 3 KB
• references/source-review.md 4 KB
• schemas/output.schema.json 5 KB
• scripts/run.mjs 20 KB
• scripts/lib/fixture-loader.mjs 1 KB
• scripts/lib/qveris-runtime.mjs 20 KB
• scripts/lib/schema-validator.mjs 2 KB
• tests/runner.fixture.test.mjs 5 KB